Models

Understanding the weather models and blending behind ISOview forecasts
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Deterministic models

Use the model query parameter on any /forecast endpoint to select a model.

Blends numerical and AI-powered weather models with proprietary methods for maximum accuracy. Inputs may change over time.

Horizon: 15 days | Updates: Hourly

Available for all metrics and types: regional, plant, county, LMP, and gas.

The ISO’s own published forecast, useful for direct comparison. Availability and regions vary by ISO.

Horizon: Varies | Updates: Varies

Available for regional demand, wind, solar, and outage only.

Historical-average baseline for assessing seasonal anomalies against current forecasts.

Horizon: 15 days | Updates: Daily

Available for regional demand, wind, solar, outage, and temperature.

Ensemble models

Ensemble models are accessed via the /ensemble endpoint using the model parameter. Each returns multiple forecast members representing a range of possible outcomes.

The ECMWF’s 51-member Integrated Forecasting System ensemble. Each member starts from slightly different initial conditions, producing a range of outcomes. Ensemble member forecasts are derived exclusively from this model and are not combined with any other weather models.

This is the default when no model parameter is specified on the ensemble endpoint.

Horizon: 15 days | Updates: Every 6 hours

Available for regional demand, wind, solar, outage, and temperature.

ECMWF’s extended-range ensemble forecast, reaching well beyond the standard ensemble horizon.

Horizon: 46 days | Updates: Daily

Available for regional demand, wind, solar, outage, and temperature.

ECMWF’s seasonal forecasting system. Provides multi-month outlooks for identifying long-term trends in demand, generation potential, and gas prices.

Horizon: 7 months | Updates: Monthly

Available for regional demand, wind, solar, outage, and temperature.

Comparison

ModelParameterTypeEndpointHorizonUpdatesAvailability
OptimizedoptimizedDeterministicforecast15 daysHourlyRegion, Plant, County, LMP, Gas
ISOisoDeterministicforecastVariesVariesRegion only
NormalnormalDeterministicforecast15 daysDailyRegion only
ECMWF IFSeuro_ensEnsembleensemble15 days6 hoursRegion only
ECMWF EC46euro_ec46Ensembleensemble46 daysDailyRegion only
ECMWF SEAS5euro_seas5Ensembleensemble7 monthsMonthlyRegion only